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Taiwan is providing billions to build seven more submarines to ward off possible attacks by the People’s Liberation Army

Taiwan is providing billions to build seven more submarines to ward off possible attacks by the People’s Liberation Army

Cabinet spokesman Chen Shih-kai said the submarines would be built between 2025 and 2038 as part of the indigenous defense submarine program.

“The Government is committed to maintaining peace and stability in the Indo-Pacific region and to promoting national Defensive skillsand we are implementing measures such as domestic production of ships and aircraft to build a resilient Taiwan and protect national sovereignty,” Chen said.

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Taiwan unveils first home-built submarine to ward off possible attack from mainland China

Taiwan unveils first home-built submarine to ward off possible attack from mainland China

The prototype of the submarine, which Lai’s predecessor Tsai Ing-wen called Hai Kun or Narwhal, was officially unveiled in the southern Chinese city of Kaohsiung in September last year. At the time, Tsai said the development demonstrated the island’s ability to “make an impossible task possible.”

Built by CSBC Corporation Taiwan, the prototype diesel-electric submarine cost around NT$26 billion and was ordered shortly after Tsai took office in 2016. It features an X-shaped rudder configuration for operations in shallow waters, as well as a pair of additional small horizontal fins.

It is being made combat-ready and, according to Admiral Huang Shu-kuang, head of the submarine construction program, will have a combat system from Lockheed Martin and be equipped with heavy MK-48 torpedoes of American production.

Taiwan’s Defense Minister Wellington Koo said last month that the prototype was nearing completion of its port acceptance test, which would be followed by a sea acceptance test, or sea trial. According to local news reports, the submarine is scheduled to complete its first sea acceptance test next month, with delivery expected in November next year.

Beijing considers Taiwan to be part of its territory, which could be reunified by force if necessary. Most countries, including the United States, do not recognize Taiwan as an independent state. However, Washington opposes any attempt to take the island by force and is determined to arm the island.

During an inspection of the submarine construction with Tsai before taking office In March, Lai pledged his support for the program and said he would build seven more ships in the future.
Such a fleet would definitely make Taiwan more capable, PLA forces at sea, according to analysts.

“The construction of seven more submarines and the approval of the budget show the Lai government’s determination to protect Taiwan,” said Su Tzu-yun, a senior analyst at the Institute for National Defense and Security Research, a government think tank in Taipei.

Taiwanese President William Lai Ching-te said last year that he intended to build another seven Hai-Kun class submarines. Photo: EPA-EFE
In contrast to Beijing, which has become increasingly aggressive towards the island, Su said Taiwan is not building the submarines “to engage in an arms race with mainland China, but to protect our way of life.” He added that the ships are “one of the asymmetric weapons Taiwan can use these to deter potential PLA attacks.”

He stressed that a submarine fleet, together with land- and ship-based missiles, could provide a “cross-domain deterrent to effectively repel naval and other amphibious attacks by the People’s Liberation Army.”

But military commentator Lu De-yun, a former spokesman for Taiwan’s Defense Ministry, said the government should allocate your budget in accordance with the budget law and budgetary discipline.

“The prototype has not even undergone sea trials yet. So how can such a huge budget for the subsequent construction of seven submarines be approved so hastily? This is not a case of ‘drawing the target after shooting the arrow’; it is more like shooting the arrow without drawing a target at all,” he said.

He also pointed out that the sea trials themselves would be a long process.

“These tests will inevitably reveal several deficiencies that need to be addressed, and further testing will be required after these changes are implemented,” he said.

“This test and modification cycle means that the uniform system configuration for the seven successor submarines and the exact budget required will not be determined until the middle of next year.”

However, the cabinet is already in the process of submitting the NT$284 billion budget to parliament, Lu said.

“This move is not only hasty and irresponsible, but also astonishing, given that the average cost of NT$40 billion per submarine is much higher than the construction cost of the prototype, which deviates greatly from global shipbuilding standards. This urgency inevitably arouses suspicion – what unspoken reasons could there be for such a rush?” he said.

02:13

Taiwanese TV drama about PLA attack triggers emotions, concern and criticism

Taiwanese TV drama about PLA attack triggers emotions, concern and criticism

However, Su said that the new submarines are expected to have more modern weapons and facilities, which also explains their higher costs.

Chieh Chung, secretary general of the Taipei think tank Association of Strategic Foresight, said he supports building seven more ships to improve Taiwan’s defenses.

“But budget preparation should be done step by step, and it is not appropriate to allocate a large, long-term budget for mass production of submarines when sea trials have not yet begun and the production configuration is still undetermined,” he said.

“This would result in significant inaccuracies in the budget.”

He said that past practice has been for the legislature, which is responsible for multi-year budget matters, particularly military procurement, to pass budgets when the funds allocated by the Cabinet were relatively low in the first year.

“After the first-year allocation was passed, lawmakers rarely rejected funds for subsequent years,” he added. According to the Defense Ministry, only NT$2 billion will be allocated for funding in the first year.

“The Cabinet’s reliance on this approach is neither appropriate nor acceptable as the testing process for the prototype is inherently more complex than for surface vessels, particularly when the domestically produced vessel is a new design,” he said.

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